Wanna Be a Billionaire? Then Move to China; Rainbows and Unicorns!: Twitter Might Finally Churn Out a Profit; Nike’s Game Plan Leaves No Room for the “Undifferentiated​”

Something tells me we’re doing it wrong…

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Image courtesy of Stuart Miles/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

There’s a new report out published by UBS and PwC, called the Billionaires Insights report that tracked 1,542 billionaires all over the world and their combined $6 trillion. And while some might quickly assume that the United States might hold the top spot for the billionaires club, they would be wrong. As it turns out, Asia has the most billionaires, topping out at 637, whereas the United States can only boast 563 billionaire residents. In fact, every two days a new billionaire is minted in Asia, with China having the most.  But, to be fair, the wealth of the U.S. billionaires is much higher, coming in at $2.8 trillion, compared to Asia’s $2 trillion. So six in one, half dozen of the other, I suppose. Except not for long. The report also mentioned that the wealth of Asia and its billionaires will far surpass the U.S. in four years. One of the biggest “problems” listed for these poor billionaires face is how they intend to pass on their wealth. Rich people problems. But somehow they manage, whether they choose to pass it on to their heirs or leave it to charitable organizations. Decisions decisions. Of course, the more people the billionaires leave behind, the more complicated things get. But such is life when one is saddled with so much friggin’ cash.

Fairytales do come true…

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Image courtesy of Stuart Miles/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

There’s a lovely rumor going around that maybe, possibly Twitter just might crank out its first-ever profit. We just need to wait until next quarter to see if that’s actually going to happen. But it’s not outside the realm of possibility since the social media company did make a major push to cut expenses while engaging in deals with other companies that don’t have them relying so heavily on advertising. Wall Street, at least is super stoked, causing shares of Twitter to soar 16% to over $20 per share.  And that company definitely needs all the share-soaring it can get. Twitter’s revenue was $590 million, a 4% dip from last year at this time but still decent since expectations were for $587 million. The other big news on the Twitter front is that the company made a very big mistake and is apparently trying to make amends for it. It seems that somehow an error was made in how user base was calculated for the last few years. But the company did revise the previous estimates, that had those numbers coming in a bit smaller than what was previously reported. Twitter insists that the difference amounted to less than one percent and that’s the story they’re sticking to. Their monthly active users, by the way, are up to 330 million and that number is supposed to be accurate, just disappointing since analysts expected that number to be 330.4 million. Oh well, Can’t win ’em all.

You’re out!

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Image courtesy of photostock/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Nike’s annoyed at under-performing retailers and has put them on notice. Which is definitely one way to make enemies. But hey, Nike is all about competing and if a struggling retailer is unable to “just do it,” then they’re out. Because Nike has a plan – a big one – that’s got them trying to hit $50 billion in sales by 2020. Nike wants to just do it, naturally. However, Wall Street is not so sure it can. I have yet to decide who my money’s on at this point in time. Apparently, 40% of Nike’s wholesale business comes from “differentiated” retailers and they want to up that to 80%.  Those retailers have a way of presenting the merchandise that gets customers wanting to spend their money at those establishments. According to Nike brass, “undifferentiated mediocre retail” just won’t cut the mustard and can expect a nasty goodbye within five years. Ouch. Nordstrom and Foot Locker apparently have nothing to worry about. For now. There were some obvious omissions, though, including Macy’s and JC Penney. Just saying. Whatever Nike has in store for those “undifferentiated” retailers doesn’t seem to bother Wall Street. Investors sent the stock up 3.5% today.

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China’s Trading Halt Heard ‘Round the World; Planet Netflix; JC Penney’s for Dollars

Domino effect…

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Image courtesy of renjith krishnan/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Another day, another trading halt in China where shares once again plunged 7% – this time in just 29 minutes. The yuan dropped to its lowest level since March 2011 and it marked the second time this week that one of the world’s biggest economies took a hit like this. Naturally, this triggered global markets to reluctantly follow suit and even here in the U.S., the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq also saw drops. Not that I am trying to freak anybody out, but the last time the Dow had a bad start to the New Year was back in 2008. Investors, however, are most definitely not panicked about that little parallel and expect the situation to improve…over time.  Besides, market indexes aren’t anywhere near lowish territories so experts don’t expect China’s fiscal woes to be a major issue.. well here anyway.

Gone global…

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Image courtesy of renjith krishnan/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Apparently it’s Netflix’s world and we just live in it. Netflix CEO Reed Hastings told a crowd at CES, “You are witnessing the birth of a global TV network,” as he announced that the streaming video service would now be expanding to 130 more countries. The service will be available in 21 different languages and be available in a total of 190 countries in this great big world. That way, a whole new massive international audience can get to experience the joy we call ,”Orange is the New Black.” Interestingly, Netflix will not be making customized services for particular countries. Rather, it will be just one single solitary internet-based television network – one that is expected to reel in millions upon millions of new subscribers.  That, my friends, is how you conquer the world, but more importantly, Wall Street, where yesterday, shares of Netflix went up 10% on the news (though today it closed down at 114.56). Unfortunately, folks in China still have to wait – maybe forever – for the service to reach its shores lest its citizens gain inspiration from entertainment that the Chinese government might deem objectionable, incendiary or just plain rude. Other countries that wont be catching up on past seasons of “House of Cards” any time soon include North Korea, Syria and Crimea.

Bah-humbug…

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Image courtesy of renjith krishnan/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Macy’s did not have a very merry Christmas as evidenced by its disappointing sales during the most important spending season of the year. Two factors seem to have contributed to these results: unseasonably warm weather kept shoppers from loading up on cold-weather gear; and a strong dollar that kept overseas tourists’ wallets at bay. And when a retailer posts less than impressive earnings during the most critical time of the year, it usually means a forecast trimming is in the works – which is exactly what Macy’s did. To add insult to fiscal injury, the retailer will be laying off close to 5,000 employees and closing 40 stores. Oddly enough, embattled retailer JC Penney saw a sales surge this holiday season of close to 4%. A big shout out for this fiscally pleasant surprise goes to amped up online efforts which helped lift shares by 2.4%. Now, if JC Penney can recoup that 8% decline that it took over that past year…well, wouldn’t that be grand.

 

Black Friday Offers “Creep-y” New Sales Trend: Visa Vis your Wallet; Defensive Save for the GDP

On your mark, get set, shop!

Image courtesy of Feelart/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Image courtesy of Feelart/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Black Friday keeps coming sooner and sooner. Expect to see Kohl’s, JC Penney and Macy’s all unlocking their doors while your still trying to pry yourself out of your chair, post turkey. In fact, Kohl’s is opening at six pm, two hours earlier than last year. But that’s nothing compared to Amazon which is starting its Black Friday deals on Saturday. This Saturday, November 1, nearly four weeks before the actual “Black Friday.”  This trend even has a name. It’s called “Black Friday Creep.” How clever, sort of. You can thank the recession we endured a few years ago for all this Thanksgiving retail interruption. Several retailers aren’t too thrilled with their sales forecasts and are hoping those added shopping hours and Thanksgiving day will give their sales a much needed boost. But don’t bother standing on line at Gamestop or Costco. Those companies feel Thanksgiving should be spent with families. However, GameStop will be flinging it’s doors open at midnight. Not sure how that fits into the quality-family-time equation. Costco, however, strongly feels its employees need time with their families and that they work especially hard during the holiday season. So what does that say about how Walmart executives feel about their employees, whose stores will be open all day on Thanksgiving?

Speaking of transactions…

Image courtesy of Michelle Meiklejohn/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Image courtesy of Michelle Meiklejohn/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Visa reported its fourth quarter earnings and how do you think the largest credit and debit card company did? I am being rhetorical. The company reported $3.23 billion in revenue, a whopping 9% increase over the same time last year. Analysts expected only $3.19 billion. Net income for the company came in at $1.4 billion which came out to a sweet $2.18 per share. That pretty little figure was 17% higher than last year’s fourth quarter and $0.07 higher than what Wall Street predicted. One of the reasons these numbers are so darn plump has to do with Visa’s growing payment volume. The company processed almost 17 billion transactions with about $1.2 trillion changing hands. Note the use of the “t.”  For the year, the company can already boast almost 70 billion transactions. That’s nothing to sneeze at, I am sure you know. All eyes are always on Visa, which is seen as a barometer of our collective spending habits and other financial aspects of our lives.

Growing, growing not gone…

Image courtesy of jannoon028/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Image courtesy of jannoon028/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Our fourth quarter grew at 3.5%. Economists only predicted a growth rate of 3% How ’bout that? But don’t pop open the champagne just yet because it didn’t grow as much as the previous quarter’s 4.6% rate. But it’s not fair to compare the quarters. After all, we were just coming off a brutal and fiscally inconvenient winter so the economy did have a jump of rebound there. So what kinds of things contributed to this quarter’s growth? One of the big contributors, whose spending frenzy helped growth is the government. Yes, in this case, major government spending proved to actually be healthy for the economy. But it wasn’t just any kind of government spending that sent our GDP into upward glee. For that we need to give a big shout out to defense spending, which played a prominent and much appreciated role in our economy this quarter.

 

 

Hail to Retail, Janet Yellen’s In the Hot Seat and Lego’s Leg Up

A tale of retail….

Courtesy of digitalart/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Courtesy of digitalart/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

I’m guessing you did a lot of shopping in the last few months, huh?  No? Not you? Well somebody around you did.  Actually a lot of people around you did. A lot. Retail stocks shot up beating forecasters expectations.  Companies like Sears and JC Penney, which took some big hits in recent months, rebounded with better than expected earnings.  And Best Buy?  It’s like whoa! Up 7% as I write this. Sadly you weren’t feeling the love for Chico’s.  What’s that all about? It was the glaring exception to this upward trend whose shares dipped an unflattering 8% after disappointing earnings.  Yikes.

Everything’s coming up chilly…

Photo courtesy ponsulak/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Photo courtesy ponsulak/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Arguably one of Wall Street’s biggest It people, Janet Yellen, took center stage today before the Senate and yes, she is a sensible central banker. Phew. Glad we got that out of the way.  And she thinks just like you do when you were surveyed by the consumer index, which, btw,  speaks volumes to both of yours intellect – namely that the economy is recovering. But darn be that chilly weather, she says, that keeps messing everything up (though it’s difficult to say just how much) – from the economy right on down to my very own driveway. Among her other important statements (none of which included anything about my driveway) she repeated the Fed’s promise to keep interest rates low as long as unemployment is still above 6.5%.  Does that make the situation a win/win or a no win?  Well that depends, I suppose on whether or not you are gainfully employed.

Go Go Lego…

Courtesy of ArtJSan/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Courtesy of ArtJSan/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

If you still haven’t seen The Lego Movie you’re missing out. But Lego’s not too worried.  While the toy flick stayed #1 at the box office for the last three weeks and continues to pull in some impressive digits worldwide, it’s their other brands like Chima and Lego Friends that has this toymaker pulling in about $4.65 billion in 2013.  And while those numbers are nothing to sneeze at (yes, that ended in a preposition and ironically I did just sneeze )  it’s still second to Mattel with its $7.1 billion worth of Barbies and Fisher Price line.