Chip Cards Get Moving; Netflix Growing Pains; Harley-Davidson Earnings Not Cruising

Feeling chipper…

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There are around 265 million Visa credit and debit chip cards floating around that have been providing some much needed security. Big merchants who upgraded their terminals for chip-enabled cards have noted an 18% decrease in fraudulent activity.  Five of the 25 biggest merchants who were not chip-enabled actually saw an 11% uptick in fraudulent activity. And while everyone is happy about the added security, both merchants and customers don’t care for the much longer transaction times. But now Visa finally finally made some improvements to its software with a “Quick Chip” upgrade. The new upgrade is expected to reduce wait times and shave off about 18 seconds from transactions times. Instead of dipping your card in the terminal and waiting a number of endless seconds until the terminal angrily beeps that you need to remove your card, you’ll dip it in and take it right out in two seconds. Wal-Mart also took cues from disgruntled customers and figured out a way to shave 11 seconds of their transaction times: by skipping the prompt that asks shoppers to confirm the transaction amount. Not sure how I feel about that one.  If you recall, merchants had to meet a deadline last October to upgrade their terminals. If fraudulent activity occurs, the merchant now has to pony up and banks are now OFF the hook.

Growing pains…

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Netflix is in 190 countries and can be accessed from just about everywhere. The company gleefully announced that it picked up 6.74 million new subscribers in its latest earnings report and its total subscriber-ship is hovering at 81.5 million paying viewers. The streaming video service has even managed to produce more original content than HBO  and figures that by the end of the year, it will have 600 hours of original programming under its belt. But that’s where the fun ends because today the stock fell 11%, experiencing its biggest same day drop in eight months, falling to $95.84. Investors are super-curious and worried about Netflix’s growth plans after giving the disappointing news about the amount of new subscribers it expects to gain…and lose. That’s right. Netflix expect some people to drop out and dare I say it…not lay their eyes on another episode of Orange is the New Black once subscription prices go up. Oh well. You win some, you lose some. The company is thinking it’ll add only about 2.5 million subscribers next quarter, and expects just 500,000 of them to be in the U.S. Then of course there’s all that competition from Hulu and Amazon. Because, after all, its not enough for Amazon to dominate e-commerce. More than eight brokerages decided that maybe now is a good time to announce that their target price for Netflix stock is going to get somewhat smaller, with the average price target coming in at $123. However, with all that bad news, Netflix still has big plans to surpass 100 million subscribers…by next year.

Not-so-easy rider…

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Harley-Davidson (HD) bikes might carry major street creed but its earnings tell a whole different story. The legendary motorcycle company just posted its earnings and well…they just weren’t as impressive as the product themselves. HD took in a $250.5 million profit, picking up $1.36 per share, but this time last year the company earned way more, topping out closer to $270 million and adding $1.27 per share. Analysts, by the way, only expected $1.29 per share to be added. That 7.2% year-over-year decrease had Wall Street scratching its head. At least revenue was up 4.8% to $1.75 billion from last year’s $1.67 billion. But while increased revenue is a good thing, HD’s .5% sales decrease in the United States is most definitely not. The company sold only 35,326 bikes in the United States and lost some market share to competitors, especially Polaris’ Indian Motorcycles. Apparently, Harleys have failed to attract younger consumers (read: milllenials). However, globally, Harley Davidson fared much better, selling 57,458 bikes, and expects to sell a total of between 269,000 and 274,000 bikes for the year – which is more than what was initially expected. Harley-Davidson graciously explained that “retail sales trends have significantly improved.” Which seems to be true, at least for Polaris, who has taken a big bite out of Harley-Davidson’s market share.

Dissing 21st Century Fox, BofA Not Feeling the Legal-ease and Hershey’s Not So Sweet News

Rejected…

Image courtesy of Ohmega1982/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Image courtesy of Ohmega1982/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Looks like Time Warner has no love for Rupert Murdoch. The media tycoon, who reigns over 21st Century Fox, put out an offer last month to buy its rival for $80 billion, or about $85 a share in stock and cash. He even graciously offered to sell off CNN, to avoid any anti-trust and regulatory issues. But he was still denied since it was “not in the best interests of Time Warner.” Many feel, however, that Murdoch was unfettered by this rejection and will likely come at Time Warner with an even better offer , especially because Murdoch is such a big fan of HBO. I’m sure he likes the hit show Girls, but it’s probably more about HBO’s $20 billion value that really makes him a super fan. That, and the fact that a “merger” like this could pull in $65 billion a year in revenue. Wall Street also appreciated news of the rejection and sent Time Warner shares up over 15%.

Banking on lawyers…

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Image courtesy of Stuart Miles/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Bank of America came out with its earnings today and yeah…they had profits. Too bad they were down over 40% from a year ago, which means there was nothing for them to brag about today. Unless it wanted to brag about how its legal bills went up from $471 million last year to $4 billion this year. BofA can thank its lawyers for its $2.3 billion profit which was down from $4 billion a year ago. The Charlotte-based bank gained $0.19 a share instead of analysts’ predictions of $0.29 a share. Mortgage revenue was also down  but man, it was those legal bills that really put a crimp in profits. Good thing (or not?) that it reached a $650 million settlement with AIG for some outstanding mortgage bonds. However, the bank’s legal bills are far from coming to a halt. If it could just hammer out a deal with the DOJ for all the damage it caused leading up to the financial crisis by selling bad mortgages…

 

Not so sweet on this…

Image courtesy of Grant Cochrane/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Image courtesy of Grant Cochrane/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Hershey’s is about to induce a migraine. With commodities like cocoa and dairy going up, the number one candy maker in the United States is hiking up its prices by 8%. It’s the first time in three years that they’re doing this and who can blame them (well, I can) since cocoa and its fellow chocolate making ingredients are almost at three year highs. You can expect other companies like Nestle SA and Kraft to follow (though maybe they wont, but they probably will). At least you’ll have some time to prepare as you won’t feel it in your wallets until next year, when the hikes are set to take effect.