Has their time finally come to an end?
Could it be that the Valeant/Allergan saga has finally come to an anti-climactic end? Just when things seemed to be getting juicy, in walks generic drug-maker Actavis with an offer of $219 per share, making Valeant’s impending hostile takeover nothing more than a bad memory for Allergan. If you recall, everyone’s favorite (and only) Botox-maker had been fighting off Valeant’s fiscal hostilities for months. And in one fell money-minded swoop, Actavis put in an offer for Allergan that not only values it at about $66 billion, but also makes it so that it doesn’t have to deal with Bill Ackman and his Pershing Square Capital Management, which by the way, has almost a 9.7% stake in Allergan. Neither Pershing Square nor Valeant had any comment on the new offer and why would they. Besides, they win either way. This new deal adds quite a few billion dollars to Pershing Square’s already plump portfolio. As for Valeant, well it has already begun to set its fiscal sights on animal care company Zoetis.
Start hoarding the Hersheys…
It just might be that the world really is coming to an end. If a recent report by Bloomberg is correct (and seriously, it’s Bloomberg so I am sure it is), then the world will be in the throes of a chocolate shortage, with demand outpacing supply in the year 2020 by one million metric tons. If that’s not considered armageddon, then I don’t what is. Some of the factors to blame: Ebola. Yes that obnoxious, noxious deadly virus has given us ample reasons to hate it and here’s yet one more. West Africa supplies us with almost 75% of the world’s cocoa. The fact that the countries afflicted with Ebola are so close to the countries that supply cocoa are basically freaking people out on so many levels. Of course drought always manages to play a menacing role in crops and cocoa is no different. In fact the price of cocoa, whether you realized it or not (or simply just tried to feign ignorance) has gone up 60% since 2012. Combine that with pests and other plant diseases and that Hershey bar with almonds is becoming but a distant memory. So start stockpiling those candy bars. In a few years you might just be able to pay your mortgage with them.
So what’s the big deal?
Japan is staring into the wrong end of a recession after reporting its second straight quarter of growth contraction. Never a good thing especially when we’re talking about the world’s second largest economy. So why should we, on this side of the planet, care? Well for one, its toying with our financial markets. Our markets don’t particularly like it when other markets in other parts of the world have fiscal issues and Japan’s are quite large. Then we must take into account that our European friends across the pond aren’t too thrilled, as are we, with state of their financial markets, which have seem to have come to a slowdown/standstill. When that happens, the United States ends up having to support more than its fair share of the global economy which, naturally extends on over to us, the taxpayers. See how that all works out so unpleasantly?